Effect of the 2012 US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations on prostate-specific antigen screening in a Medicare advantage population

Date: August 26, 2022
Journal: Medical Care
Citation: Zhu Y, Koethe B, Ollendorf DA, Wong JB, Neumann PJ, Kim DD. Effect of the 2012 US Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations on Prostate-Specific Antigen Screening in a Medicare Advantage Population. Med Care. 2022 Aug 26



In 2012, the US Preventive Service Task Force revised its recommendations for prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening from "insufficient evidence" to "do not recommend" for men aged 70-74 while maintaining "do not recommend" for men aged 75+.


Using the difference-in-difference approach, we evaluated whether the rate of change in the use of low-value PSA screening differed between the control group (men aged 75+, N=7,856,204 person-years) and the intervention group (men aged 70-74, N=5,329,192 person-years) enrolling in the Medicare Advantage plan without a history of prostate cancer within the OptumLabs Data Warehouse claims data (2009-2019). A generalized estimating equation logistic model was specified with independent variables: an intervention group indicator, a pre- and post-period (after 2012 Q2) indicator, index time, and interaction terms. We assumed a 12-month dissemination period.


Before the revised recommendation in 2012, the trends did not significantly differ between the 2 age groups with the odds of receiving PSA screening decreasing by 1.2% (95% confidence interval [1.0, 1.4%]) per quarter. However, the odds of receiving PSA screening increased by 3.0% [2.8, 3.2%] per quarter across both groups since the revision. There was no significant additional change in the trend for those aged 70-74 (0.1% [-0.2, 0.5%]).


Although the 2012 US Preventive Service Task Force's recommendations were expected to only change behaviors among men aged 70-74, our analysis found that men aged 70-74 and aged 75+ exhibited similar trends from 2009 to 2019, including the increased use of low-value PSA screening since 2016. Multifaceted efforts to discourage low-value PSA screening would be important for a sustained impact.

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